/Market Analysis/

Sales and Strategy Update – Flax

November 16th, 2018|Categories: Flax|

Flax bids have been strong in recent couple of weeks. $13.00bu for brown flax is fairly common, but not every buyer has gotten there yet. Flax has been one of very few crops with upside potential this crop year. We have seen $1.00-1.50bu price appreciation now. There is a slight risk of additional supplies being [...]

What should I seed in 2018?

November 20th, 2017|Categories: General|

Always a popular question at this time of year. Always a difficult question to answer at this time of year. The question of what to plant is one which I discuss with clients, friends, neighbors, and media. My answer is consistently to set your seeding plans based on a rotation you are comfortable with. Grow [...]

Bushel Weight in Durum

August 16th, 2017|Categories: Durum|

So far it looks like bushel weight is going to be the priority grading factor in Durum this year. Locally I have seen only a couple of samples so far. Samples are the nicest I have ever seen. Near perfect HVK, no fusarium, no smudge, no ergot, extremely minimal midge damage and solid proteins. Weights [...]

Could the end of harvest be near?

November 14th, 2016|Categories: General|

Well "How is harvest going?" has never been a question that I have been so reluctant to ask. On our own farm it has been an epic struggle against tough Flax straw that is taller and thicker than ever before. If there is a silver lining it may be that the net yield is still [...]

July General Update

July 26th, 2016|Categories: General|

I have been enjoying some family time this month and haven't put out much for analysis. Truthfully there has been little need for updates. I was aggressive with sales leading up to, and around, the key June USDA and StatsCan reports. July has been a pretty brutal month for grain bids, for the most part [...]

2015 Crop Year Results

June 23rd, 2016|Categories: Barley, Canola, Durum, Field Peas, Flax, General, Lentils, Oats, Wheat|

You may or may not know that other than the client specific recommendations I also track the generally strategy and literal sales that I would make if it were my farm. I track 8 crops. I not only use this as a report card, but to really gut check the recommendations I make. I also [...]

Grain Marketing Has Changed

June 10th, 2016|Categories: General|

Seems like a pretty obvious statement. The markets change everyday, all day, right? The deregulation of the Canadian Wheat Board (CWB) was a generational change that was news outside of just agriculture. Farm consolidation means elevators have far fewer suppliers (farmers), and those suppliers have more leverage (and risk) than ever before. These are just a [...]

StatsCan Data

April 21st, 2016|Categories: Barley, Canola, Durum, Field Peas, Flax, Lentils, Oats, Wheat|

I will be revising my full 2016/17 Supply and Demand tables but here is your raw data. I could not be happier with how we are positioned with this data now on the table. If you have been following recommendations I hope this is reassuring and takes a little stress off as you put your [...]

What if nothing goes wrong?

April 15th, 2016|Categories: General|

In my line of work the term "risk management" is repeated so often it has become a cliche. On the farm I expect that you are starting to feel the same way. Farming is arguably the riskiest occupation in the world. Every year you face risk of drought, flood, insects, disease, frost and hail. Every [...]

Canola Futures falling off a cliff?

March 2nd, 2016|Categories: Canola|

What was a nice calm sideways market up until 2 weeks ago is suddenly seeing the highest volatility of all grains. Not in a good way either. May Futures opened at $473mt just 7 days ago and closed today at $444.50! That hurts, especially when you have a whole lot of your crop with open [...]

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